Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th congressional district on June 23, 2026, with 39.1 percent of the vote to Alex Bores’ 35.0 percent in a crowded field that also included Jack Schlossberg. The roughly four-point margin reflects Lasher’s strength on the Upper West Side combined with narrower but decisive leads in several Upper East Side precincts that offset Bores’ advantages in Midtown and Hudson Yards areas. Nadler’s endorsement and Lasher’s prior Assembly record provided organizational edges in a contest decided by fewer than 5,000 votes out of more than 102,000 cast. Trader consensus for a sub-five-point Lasher win tracks these certified tallies, though final canvassing or any recount challenges in specific precincts remain the only procedural steps that could still affect the recorded margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLasher <5% 97.9%
Lasher 5–10% 1.6%
Lasher 15%+ <1%
Lasher 10–15% <1%
$94,975 Обс.
$94,975 Обс.
Jun 23, 2026
Lasher 15%+
<1%
Lasher 10–15%
<1%
Lasher 5–10%
2%
Lasher <5%
98%
Lasher <5% 97.9%
Lasher 5–10% 1.6%
Lasher 15%+ <1%
Lasher 10–15% <1%
$94,975 Обс.
$94,975 Обс.
Jun 23, 2026
Lasher 15%+
$4,681 Обс.
<1%
Lasher 10–15%
$4,346 Обс.
<1%
Lasher 5–10%
$5,755 Обс.
2%
Lasher <5%
$14,577 Обс.
98%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th congressional district on June 23, 2026, with 39.1 percent of the vote to Alex Bores’ 35.0 percent in a crowded field that also included Jack Schlossberg. The roughly four-point margin reflects Lasher’s strength on the Upper West Side combined with narrower but decisive leads in several Upper East Side precincts that offset Bores’ advantages in Midtown and Hudson Yards areas. Nadler’s endorsement and Lasher’s prior Assembly record provided organizational edges in a contest decided by fewer than 5,000 votes out of more than 102,000 cast. Trader consensus for a sub-five-point Lasher win tracks these certified tallies, though final canvassing or any recount challenges in specific precincts remain the only procedural steps that could still affect the recorded margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$94,975Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th congressional district on June 23, 2026, with 39.1 percent of the vote to Alex Bores’ 35.0 percent in a crowded field that also included Jack Schlossberg. The roughly four-point margin reflects Lasher’s strength on the Upper West Side combined with narrower but decisive leads in several Upper East Side precincts that offset Bores’ advantages in Midtown and Hudson Yards areas. Nadler’s endorsement and Lasher’s prior Assembly record provided organizational edges in a contest decided by fewer than 5,000 votes out of more than 102,000 cast. Trader consensus for a sub-five-point Lasher win tracks these certified tallies, though final canvassing or any recount challenges in specific precincts remain the only procedural steps that could still affect the recorded margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$94,975Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th congressional district on June 23, 2026, with 39.1 percent of the vote to Alex Bores’ 35.0 percent in a crowded field that also included Jack Schlossberg. The roughly four-point margin reflects Lasher’s strength on the Upper West Side combined with narrower but decisive leads in several Upper East Side precincts that offset Bores’ advantages in Midtown and Hudson Yards areas. Nadler’s endorsement and Lasher’s prior Assembly record provided organizational edges in a contest decided by fewer than 5,000 votes out of more than 102,000 cast. Trader consensus for a sub-five-point Lasher win tracks these certified tallies, though final canvassing or any recount challenges in specific precincts remain the only procedural steps that could still affect the recorded margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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