**Forecast consensus from NOAA-aligned models and local observations places Seattle’s overnight low on August 31 firmly in the mid-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 54–55 °F (55.5 %) and 56–57 °F (38.0 %).** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and surface high pressure are expected to allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs reach the low-to-mid 70s. These conditions mirror climatological norms for late August, when the average low is 55.4 °F, and recent model runs show minimal spread or deviation. No incoming troughs, marine push, or cloud cover are indicated that would raise the minimum or drive it below 52 °F. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the two bins that bracket the most probable verified reading at official stations, while assigning sharply lower odds to colder or warmer tails. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
54-55°F 57%
58-59°F 38%
56-57°F 37%
52-53°F 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
23%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
57%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 57%
58-59°F 38%
56-57°F 37%
52-53°F 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$27 Обс.
23%
48-49°F
$22 Обс.
14%
50-51°F
$7 Обс.
26%
52-53°F
$7 Обс.
31%
54-55°F
$7 Обс.
57%
56-57°F
$7 Обс.
37%
58-59°F
$24 Обс.
38%
60-61°F
$90 Обс.
24%
62-63°F
$95 Обс.
11%
64-65°F
$5 Обс.
14%
66°F or higher
$158 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA-aligned models and local observations places Seattle’s overnight low on August 31 firmly in the mid-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 54–55 °F (55.5 %) and 56–57 °F (38.0 %).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and surface high pressure are expected to allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs reach the low-to-mid 70s. These conditions mirror climatological norms for late August, when the average low is 55.4 °F, and recent model runs show minimal spread or deviation.
No incoming troughs, marine push, or cloud cover are indicated that would raise the minimum or drive it below 52 °F. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the two bins that bracket the most probable verified reading at official stations, while assigning sharply lower odds to colder or warmer tails. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$449Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA-aligned models and local observations places Seattle’s overnight low on August 31 firmly in the mid-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 54–55 °F (55.5 %) and 56–57 °F (38.0 %).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and surface high pressure are expected to allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs reach the low-to-mid 70s. These conditions mirror climatological norms for late August, when the average low is 55.4 °F, and recent model runs show minimal spread or deviation.
No incoming troughs, marine push, or cloud cover are indicated that would raise the minimum or drive it below 52 °F. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the two bins that bracket the most probable verified reading at official stations, while assigning sharply lower odds to colder or warmer tails. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$449Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from NOAA-aligned models and local observations places Seattle’s overnight low on August 31 firmly in the mid-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 54–55 °F (55.5 %) and 56–57 °F (38.0 %).** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and surface high pressure are expected to allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs reach the low-to-mid 70s. These conditions mirror climatological norms for late August, when the average low is 55.4 °F, and recent model runs show minimal spread or deviation. No incoming troughs, marine push, or cloud cover are indicated that would raise the minimum or drive it below 52 °F. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the two bins that bracket the most probable verified reading at official stations, while assigning sharply lower odds to colder or warmer tails. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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