Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
67%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$52 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$65 Обс.
1%
14°C
$57 Обс.
5%
15°C
$0 Обс.
5%
16°C
$237 Обс.
19%
17°C
$933 Обс.
67%
18°C
$231 Обс.
12%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C
$5 Обс.
4%
21°C
$65 Обс.
1%
22°C or higher
$52 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,697Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,697Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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