**Trader consensus around a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 30, 2026 (98.5% implied probability) aligns with official forecast consensus from multiple models.** Persistent cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a stable mild air mass have kept overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with guidance consistently projecting lows near 17°C—above the long-term August average of about 13–14°C. Sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and ensemble runs show morning readings stabilizing around 17–18°C under overcast conditions, limiting radiative cooling. Minor deviations to 16°C or 18°C carry low probability due to the narrow uncertainty range in current model output. A rapid shift to clear skies overnight or an unexpected frontal passage could push readings lower, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 99%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,545 Обс.
$7,545 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,545 Обс.
$7,545 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$358 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$406 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$405 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,212 Обс.
2%
17°C
$1,986 Обс.
99%
18°C
$1,758 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$785 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$274 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$45 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 30, 2026 (98.5% implied probability) aligns with official forecast consensus from multiple models.** Persistent cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a stable mild air mass have kept overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with guidance consistently projecting lows near 17°C—above the long-term August average of about 13–14°C. Sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and ensemble runs show morning readings stabilizing around 17–18°C under overcast conditions, limiting radiative cooling. Minor deviations to 16°C or 18°C carry low probability due to the narrow uncertainty range in current model output. A rapid shift to clear skies overnight or an unexpected frontal passage could push readings lower, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,545Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 30, 2026 (98.5% implied probability) aligns with official forecast consensus from multiple models.** Persistent cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a stable mild air mass have kept overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with guidance consistently projecting lows near 17°C—above the long-term August average of about 13–14°C. Sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and ensemble runs show morning readings stabilizing around 17–18°C under overcast conditions, limiting radiative cooling. Minor deviations to 16°C or 18°C carry low probability due to the narrow uncertainty range in current model output. A rapid shift to clear skies overnight or an unexpected frontal passage could push readings lower, though neither appears likely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,545Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around a 17°C minimum in Paris on August 30, 2026 (98.5% implied probability) aligns with official forecast consensus from multiple models.** Persistent cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a stable mild air mass have kept overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with guidance consistently projecting lows near 17°C—above the long-term August average of about 13–14°C. Sources such as Météo-France-aligned forecasts and ensemble runs show morning readings stabilizing around 17–18°C under overcast conditions, limiting radiative cooling. Minor deviations to 16°C or 18°C carry low probability due to the narrow uncertainty range in current model output. A rapid shift to clear skies overnight or an unexpected frontal passage could push readings lower, though neither appears likely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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