Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderating maritime air replacing earlier heatwave conditions. Overnight lows are shaped by weak radiational cooling, light westerly winds, and dew points near 15°C that limit further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with late-summer climatology where Paris averages 15–18°C lows, while recent model runs have nudged probabilities slightly higher than earlier cooler scenarios. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied odds to 19°C and 18°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
19°C 70%
18°C 13%
21°C 6%
17°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
31%
19°C
51%
20°C
28%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 13%
21°C 6%
17°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$569 Обс.
1%
16°C
$341 Обс.
3%
17°C
$543 Обс.
5%
18°C
$910 Обс.
31%
19°C
$1,104 Обс.
51%
20°C
$356 Обс.
28%
21°C
$323 Обс.
6%
22°C
$145 Обс.
1%
23°C
$320 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$910 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$966 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderating maritime air replacing earlier heatwave conditions. Overnight lows are shaped by weak radiational cooling, light westerly winds, and dew points near 15°C that limit further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with late-summer climatology where Paris averages 15–18°C lows, while recent model runs have nudged probabilities slightly higher than earlier cooler scenarios. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied odds to 19°C and 18°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,488Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderating maritime air replacing earlier heatwave conditions. Overnight lows are shaped by weak radiational cooling, light westerly winds, and dew points near 15°C that limit further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with late-summer climatology where Paris averages 15–18°C lows, while recent model runs have nudged probabilities slightly higher than earlier cooler scenarios. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied odds to 19°C and 18°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,488Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderating maritime air replacing earlier heatwave conditions. Overnight lows are shaped by weak radiational cooling, light westerly winds, and dew points near 15°C that limit further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with late-summer climatology where Paris averages 15–18°C lows, while recent model runs have nudged probabilities slightly higher than earlier cooler scenarios. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied odds to 19°C and 18°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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