Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 19?
23°C 26%
24°C 26%
27°C 13%
25°C 12%
НОВЕ
$27,223 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,223 Обс.
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
6%
23°C 26%
24°C 26%
27°C 13%
25°C 12%
НОВЕ
$27,223 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,223 Обс.
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
$787 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$974 Обс.
1%
21°C
$1,690 Обс.
5%
22°C
$1,915 Обс.
8%
23°C
$3,001 Обс.
26%
24°C
$2,501 Обс.
26%
25°C
$1,499 Обс.
12%
26°C
$1,804 Обс.
7%
27°C
$3,007 Обс.
13%
28°C
$3,969 Обс.
7%
29°C or higher
$6,074 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,223Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,223Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання