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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

25°C 39%

26°C 34%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

25°C 39%

26°C 34%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

21°C or below

$20 Обс.

1%

22°C

$205 Обс.

11%

23°C

$62 Обс.

19%

24°C

$98 Обс.

15%

25°C

$7 Обс.

39%

26°C

$87 Обс.

34%

27°C

$13 Обс.

19%

28°C

$120 Обс.

5%

29°C

$40 Обс.

16%

30°C

$20 Обс.

20%

31°C or higher

$40 Обс.

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius for Hong Kong on September 2, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting radiative cooling while high humidity sustains warmth.** Multiple sources project nighttime minima near 24–26°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 25–26°C under unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough affecting the South China Sea. Recent model runs show light rain or drizzle overnight, which moderates temperature drops, while daytime highs around 30–31°C reflect residual heat and moisture. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud thickness, wind speed, or shower timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; official Hong Kong Observatory observations and final model guidance expected later on September 2 will resolve the exact value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$712
Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius for Hong Kong on September 2, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting radiative cooling while high humidity sustains warmth.** Multiple sources project nighttime minima near 24–26°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 25–26°C under unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough affecting the South China Sea. Recent model runs show light rain or drizzle overnight, which moderates temperature drops, while daytime highs around 30–31°C reflect residual heat and moisture. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud thickness, wind speed, or shower timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; official Hong Kong Observatory observations and final model guidance expected later on September 2 will resolve the exact value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$712
Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25°C» з 39%, далі «26°C» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?» — «25°C» з 39%. Наступний — «26°C» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.