**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius for Hong Kong on September 2, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting radiative cooling while high humidity sustains warmth.** Multiple sources project nighttime minima near 24–26°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 25–26°C under unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough affecting the South China Sea. Recent model runs show light rain or drizzle overnight, which moderates temperature drops, while daytime highs around 30–31°C reflect residual heat and moisture. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud thickness, wind speed, or shower timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; official Hong Kong Observatory observations and final model guidance expected later on September 2 will resolve the exact value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 20%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C
39%
26°C
34%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
23%
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 20%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C
39%
26°C
34%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius for Hong Kong on September 2, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds limiting radiative cooling while high humidity sustains warmth.** Multiple sources project nighttime minima near 24–26°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 25–26°C under unsettled conditions from a broad low-pressure trough affecting the South China Sea. Recent model runs show light rain or drizzle overnight, which moderates temperature drops, while daytime highs around 30–31°C reflect residual heat and moisture. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud thickness, wind speed, or shower timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; official Hong Kong Observatory observations and final model guidance expected later on September 2 will resolve the exact value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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