Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam likely between 13–15°C overnight on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Historical averages for the date hover near 11°C, but current conditions—daytime highs near 19–20°C with dew points around 15–17°C—support milder overnight readings without strong cold advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 12–17°C because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
12°C or below 100%
13°C 100%
17°C 92%
16°C 52%
$518 Обс.
$518 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
-
15°C
51%
16°C
52%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 100%
13°C 100%
17°C 92%
16°C 52%
$518 Обс.
$518 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
13°C
$20 Обс.
100%
14°C
$9 Обс.
-
15°C
$5 Обс.
51%
16°C
$9 Обс.
52%
17°C
$163 Обс.
92%
18°C
$157 Обс.
10%
19°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$75 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam likely between 13–15°C overnight on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Historical averages for the date hover near 11°C, but current conditions—daytime highs near 19–20°C with dew points around 15–17°C—support milder overnight readings without strong cold advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 12–17°C because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$518Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam likely between 13–15°C overnight on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Historical averages for the date hover near 11°C, but current conditions—daytime highs near 19–20°C with dew points around 15–17°C—support milder overnight readings without strong cold advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 12–17°C because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$518Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam likely between 13–15°C overnight on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. Historical averages for the date hover near 11°C, but current conditions—daytime highs near 19–20°C with dew points around 15–17°C—support milder overnight readings without strong cold advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 12–17°C because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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