Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University, pointing to a below-normal 2026 Atlantic season with 3–6 hurricanes expected, underpin trader preference for the 1–3 range amid just two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Strengthening El Niño conditions are increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere, reducing tropical cyclogenesis potential across the main development region. Cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in key areas and historical analogs from prior El Niño years further support subdued activity, though peak months ahead introduce forecast uncertainty. Updated model runs in early August will clarify whether activity remains suppressed or rebounds toward the 4–6 bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3 51%
4-6 32%
7+ 25%
0 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
0
7%
1-3
51%
4-6
32%
7+
25%
1-3 51%
4-6 32%
7+ 25%
0 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
0
$58 Обс.
7%
1-3
$0 Обс.
51%
4-6
$0 Обс.
32%
7+
$0 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University, pointing to a below-normal 2026 Atlantic season with 3–6 hurricanes expected, underpin trader preference for the 1–3 range amid just two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Strengthening El Niño conditions are increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere, reducing tropical cyclogenesis potential across the main development region. Cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in key areas and historical analogs from prior El Niño years further support subdued activity, though peak months ahead introduce forecast uncertainty. Updated model runs in early August will clarify whether activity remains suppressed or rebounds toward the 4–6 bin.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University, pointing to a below-normal 2026 Atlantic season with 3–6 hurricanes expected, underpin trader preference for the 1–3 range amid just two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Strengthening El Niño conditions are increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere, reducing tropical cyclogenesis potential across the main development region. Cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in key areas and historical analogs from prior El Niño years further support subdued activity, though peak months ahead introduce forecast uncertainty. Updated model runs in early August will clarify whether activity remains suppressed or rebounds toward the 4–6 bin.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University, pointing to a below-normal 2026 Atlantic season with 3–6 hurricanes expected, underpin trader preference for the 1–3 range amid just two named storms and zero hurricanes through late July. Strengthening El Niño conditions are increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere, reducing tropical cyclogenesis potential across the main development region. Cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in key areas and historical analogs from prior El Niño years further support subdued activity, though peak months ahead introduce forecast uncertainty. Updated model runs in early August will clarify whether activity remains suppressed or rebounds toward the 4–6 bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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