**Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, 2026, with traders heavily favoring 15–16°C outcomes.** Short-term guidance shows northwesterlies or a developing winter storm from the Tasman Sea potentially advecting milder air ahead of showers, pushing maxima into the mid-teens Celsius while keeping conditions near the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region through August, consistent with the market-implied range and limiting upside to 17°C or higher. Model consensus and the timing of the frontal system relative to peak daytime heating appear to be the dominant drivers anchoring sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
НОВЕ
$20,706 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,706 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
33%
16°C
61%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
НОВЕ
$20,706 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,706 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$289 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,333 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$239 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,671 Обс.
2%
15°C
$6,457 Обс.
33%
16°C
$3,912 Обс.
61%
17°C
$3,606 Обс.
7%
18°C
$1,636 Обс.
2%
19°C
$252 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, 2026, with traders heavily favoring 15–16°C outcomes.** Short-term guidance shows northwesterlies or a developing winter storm from the Tasman Sea potentially advecting milder air ahead of showers, pushing maxima into the mid-teens Celsius while keeping conditions near the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region through August, consistent with the market-implied range and limiting upside to 17°C or higher. Model consensus and the timing of the frontal system relative to peak daytime heating appear to be the dominant drivers anchoring sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,706Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, 2026, with traders heavily favoring 15–16°C outcomes.** Short-term guidance shows northwesterlies or a developing winter storm from the Tasman Sea potentially advecting milder air ahead of showers, pushing maxima into the mid-teens Celsius while keeping conditions near the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region through August, consistent with the market-implied range and limiting upside to 17°C or higher. Model consensus and the timing of the frontal system relative to peak daytime heating appear to be the dominant drivers anchoring sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,706Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, 2026, with traders heavily favoring 15–16°C outcomes.** Short-term guidance shows northwesterlies or a developing winter storm from the Tasman Sea potentially advecting milder air ahead of showers, pushing maxima into the mid-teens Celsius while keeping conditions near the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region through August, consistent with the market-implied range and limiting upside to 17°C or higher. Model consensus and the timing of the frontal system relative to peak daytime heating appear to be the dominant drivers anchoring sentiment around these narrow thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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