Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Tel Aviv under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity on August 31, 2026, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Mediterranean typically caps peak temperatures in this range during late summer, while high solar insolation and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Model consensus places the daily maximum around 31–32 °C, consistent with historical late-August averages near 30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat advection. These conditions underpin the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 31 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
32°C 77%
31°C 23%
33°C 1.4%
35°C <1%
$14,297 Обс.
$14,297 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
77%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 77%
31°C 23%
33°C 1.4%
35°C <1%
$14,297 Обс.
$14,297 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
77%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Tel Aviv under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity on August 31, 2026, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Mediterranean typically caps peak temperatures in this range during late summer, while high solar insolation and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Model consensus places the daily maximum around 31–32 °C, consistent with historical late-August averages near 30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat advection. These conditions underpin the dominant market-implied probabilities for 32 °C and 31 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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