Recent model consensus from INMET and international forecasts points to a high near 24–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14, with 25 °C carrying the strongest trader backing at 42.5 %. A post-frontal high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover are allowing greater solar heating during the dry winter season, while light winds limit mixing and enhance the urban heat-island effect. Earlier cold-air incursions dropped temperatures early in the week, but rapid warming since the 13th has shifted the distribution toward the upper end of the typical August range. Updated runs showing scattered clouds rather than clear skies slightly temper upside risk above 27 °C, keeping the 24–26 °C cluster dominant in market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
25°C 43%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 9.2%
НОВЕ
$14,727 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,727 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
22%
25°C
43%
26°C
19%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 9.2%
НОВЕ
$14,727 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,727 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
$359 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$409 Обс.
1%
23°C
$558 Обс.
9%
24°C
$5,354 Обс.
22%
25°C
$1,232 Обс.
43%
26°C
$1,911 Обс.
19%
27°C
$1,944 Обс.
5%
28°C
$993 Обс.
2%
29°C
$1,270 Обс.
1%
30°C
$323 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$373 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from INMET and international forecasts points to a high near 24–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14, with 25 °C carrying the strongest trader backing at 42.5 %. A post-frontal high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover are allowing greater solar heating during the dry winter season, while light winds limit mixing and enhance the urban heat-island effect. Earlier cold-air incursions dropped temperatures early in the week, but rapid warming since the 13th has shifted the distribution toward the upper end of the typical August range. Updated runs showing scattered clouds rather than clear skies slightly temper upside risk above 27 °C, keeping the 24–26 °C cluster dominant in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,727Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from INMET and international forecasts points to a high near 24–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14, with 25 °C carrying the strongest trader backing at 42.5 %. A post-frontal high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover are allowing greater solar heating during the dry winter season, while light winds limit mixing and enhance the urban heat-island effect. Earlier cold-air incursions dropped temperatures early in the week, but rapid warming since the 13th has shifted the distribution toward the upper end of the typical August range. Updated runs showing scattered clouds rather than clear skies slightly temper upside risk above 27 °C, keeping the 24–26 °C cluster dominant in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,727Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from INMET and international forecasts points to a high near 24–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14, with 25 °C carrying the strongest trader backing at 42.5 %. A post-frontal high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover are allowing greater solar heating during the dry winter season, while light winds limit mixing and enhance the urban heat-island effect. Earlier cold-air incursions dropped temperatures early in the week, but rapid warming since the 13th has shifted the distribution toward the upper end of the typical August range. Updated runs showing scattered clouds rather than clear skies slightly temper upside risk above 27 °C, keeping the 24–26 °C cluster dominant in market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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