Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,223 Обс.
$28,223 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
45%
25°C
29%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,223 Обс.
$28,223 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$1,618 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$947 Обс.
1%
21°C
$2,875 Обс.
1%
22°C
$1,617 Обс.
5%
23°C
$6,310 Обс.
13%
24°C
$4,904 Обс.
45%
25°C
$2,276 Обс.
29%
26°C
$2,221 Обс.
10%
27°C
$985 Обс.
1%
28°C
$621 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,953 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,223Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$28,223Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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