Current meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking Istanbul indicate a peak temperature of 26°C today, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime influence limiting surface heating. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for this outcome reflects alignment with hourly forecasts showing afternoon maxima near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region. A shift toward 27°C or higher would require stronger insolation from clearer skies or revised model runs showing reduced wind speeds, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on ongoing data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 96%
27°C 4%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$14,750 Обс.
$14,750 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
96%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96%
27°C 4%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$14,750 Обс.
$14,750 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
96%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking Istanbul indicate a peak temperature of 26°C today, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime influence limiting surface heating. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for this outcome reflects alignment with hourly forecasts showing afternoon maxima near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region. A shift toward 27°C or higher would require stronger insolation from clearer skies or revised model runs showing reduced wind speeds, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on ongoing data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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