**Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets indicate a daily high in Austin on August 4, 2026, most likely between 98–101°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 58.5% for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 100–101°F.** Persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly flow are driving daytime heating under typical late-summer conditions, with forecast highs clustered near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~96–98°F. Minor model spread and localized variations account for the secondary probability on 96–97°F, while the low odds on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger heating without changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. Official guidance notes heat indices potentially reaching 109°F, but resolution hinges on the verified maximum temperature reported for the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 4?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 6.3%
НОВЕ
$11,257 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,257 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 6.3%
НОВЕ
$11,257 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,257 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
$298 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$744 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$782 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$765 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,004 Обс.
12%
98-99°F
$3,130 Обс.
57%
100-101°F
$712 Обс.
27%
102-103°F
$836 Обс.
6%
104-105°F
$261 Обс.
1%
106-107°F
$243 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$483 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets indicate a daily high in Austin on August 4, 2026, most likely between 98–101°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 58.5% for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 100–101°F.**
Persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly flow are driving daytime heating under typical late-summer conditions, with forecast highs clustered near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~96–98°F. Minor model spread and localized variations account for the secondary probability on 96–97°F, while the low odds on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger heating without changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. Official guidance notes heat indices potentially reaching 109°F, but resolution hinges on the verified maximum temperature reported for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,257Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets indicate a daily high in Austin on August 4, 2026, most likely between 98–101°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 58.5% for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 100–101°F.**
Persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly flow are driving daytime heating under typical late-summer conditions, with forecast highs clustered near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~96–98°F. Minor model spread and localized variations account for the secondary probability on 96–97°F, while the low odds on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger heating without changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. Official guidance notes heat indices potentially reaching 109°F, but resolution hinges on the verified maximum temperature reported for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,257Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets indicate a daily high in Austin on August 4, 2026, most likely between 98–101°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 58.5% for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 100–101°F.** Persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly flow are driving daytime heating under typical late-summer conditions, with forecast highs clustered near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~96–98°F. Minor model spread and localized variations account for the secondary probability on 96–97°F, while the low odds on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger heating without changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. Official guidance notes heat indices potentially reaching 109°F, but resolution hinges on the verified maximum temperature reported for the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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