Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 13?
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
91°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$12 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$67 Обс.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
6%
98-99°F
$193 Обс.
25%
100-101°F
$117 Обс.
54%
102-103°F
$11 Обс.
14%
104-105°F
$124 Обс.
4%
106-107°F
$59 Обс.
3%
108-109°F
$59 Обс.
1%
110°F or higher
$54 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$709Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$709Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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