President Donald Trump maintains elevated Truth Social activity as the leading driver of market odds favoring 200+ posts in the August 25–September 1 window. Historical data shows consistent daily averages of 18–26 posts or reposts across 2025–2026, with spikes exceeding 800 items in active months amid foreign policy developments such as Iran diplomacy and related economic measures. Recent executive actions on vaccines, citizenship rules, and trade policy, alongside ongoing tariff negotiations and market-sensitive announcements, align with sustained output patterns that traders price into the top outcome at 56%. The new Truth API service for early post access, launched in early August, further underscores expectations of continued high-volume posting without evident slowdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено200+ 56%
180-199 19%
160-179 14%
140-159 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
3%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
12%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200+
56%
200+ 56%
180-199 19%
160-179 14%
140-159 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$183 Обс.
1%
20-39
$175 Обс.
<1%
40-59
$85 Обс.
1%
60-79
$25 Обс.
3%
80-99
$10 Обс.
3%
100-119
$10 Обс.
3%
120-139
$10 Обс.
5%
140-159
$0 Обс.
12%
160-179
$35 Обс.
14%
180-199
$64 Обс.
19%
200+
$529 Обс.
56%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump maintains elevated Truth Social activity as the leading driver of market odds favoring 200+ posts in the August 25–September 1 window. Historical data shows consistent daily averages of 18–26 posts or reposts across 2025–2026, with spikes exceeding 800 items in active months amid foreign policy developments such as Iran diplomacy and related economic measures. Recent executive actions on vaccines, citizenship rules, and trade policy, alongside ongoing tariff negotiations and market-sensitive announcements, align with sustained output patterns that traders price into the top outcome at 56%. The new Truth API service for early post access, launched in early August, further underscores expectations of continued high-volume posting without evident slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,126Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump maintains elevated Truth Social activity as the leading driver of market odds favoring 200+ posts in the August 25–September 1 window. Historical data shows consistent daily averages of 18–26 posts or reposts across 2025–2026, with spikes exceeding 800 items in active months amid foreign policy developments such as Iran diplomacy and related economic measures. Recent executive actions on vaccines, citizenship rules, and trade policy, alongside ongoing tariff negotiations and market-sensitive announcements, align with sustained output patterns that traders price into the top outcome at 56%. The new Truth API service for early post access, launched in early August, further underscores expectations of continued high-volume posting without evident slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,126Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump maintains elevated Truth Social activity as the leading driver of market odds favoring 200+ posts in the August 25–September 1 window. Historical data shows consistent daily averages of 18–26 posts or reposts across 2025–2026, with spikes exceeding 800 items in active months amid foreign policy developments such as Iran diplomacy and related economic measures. Recent executive actions on vaccines, citizenship rules, and trade policy, alongside ongoing tariff negotiations and market-sensitive announcements, align with sustained output patterns that traders price into the top outcome at 56%. The new Truth API service for early post access, launched in early August, further underscores expectations of continued high-volume posting without evident slowdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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