US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$28,543 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
70%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Abbas Araghchi
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
63%
J.D. Vance
56%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
21%
Kazem Gharibabadi
19%
Rafael Grossi
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Nick Stewart
19%
Ahmad Vahidi
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Ishaq Dar
14%
Donald Trump
12%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
$28,543 Обс.
Jared Kushner
$230 Обс.
70%
Steve Witkoff
$427 Обс.
73%
Abbas Araghchi
$411 Обс.
64%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$80 Обс.
63%
J.D. Vance
$584 Обс.
56%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Обс.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$998 Обс.
21%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$885 Обс.
19%
Rafael Grossi
$44 Обс.
23%
Marco Rubio
$40 Обс.
23%
Nick Stewart
$60 Обс.
19%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Обс.
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$939 Обс.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$932 Обс.
14%
Donald Trump
$59 Обс.
12%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Обс.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,061 Обс.
5%
Esmail Qaani
$1,231 Обс.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,543Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$28,543Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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