US-Iran negotiations remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and maritime access through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has repeatedly denied direct or formal peace talks with the United States, citing alleged US violations of the memorandum and insisting that any discussions occur only through Oman on Hormuz-related matters. President Trump has stated that indirect or semi-negotiations continue at the urging of regional mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and the UAE, though no new round has been confirmed. Pakistani and Omani diplomatic efforts to restart indirect talks represent the main near-term catalysts before the August 31 deadline. Trader consensus on attendance reflects these procedural and venue uncertainties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$93,892 Обс.
Nick Stewart
15%
Kazem Gharibabadi
6%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
3%
Rafael Grossi
3%
Marco Rubio
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$93,892 Обс.
Nick Stewart
15%
Kazem Gharibabadi
6%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
3%
Rafael Grossi
3%
Marco Rubio
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations remain stalled in mid-August 2026 following the June Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and maritime access through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has repeatedly denied direct or formal peace talks with the United States, citing alleged US violations of the memorandum and insisting that any discussions occur only through Oman on Hormuz-related matters. President Trump has stated that indirect or semi-negotiations continue at the urging of regional mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and the UAE, though no new round has been confirmed. Pakistani and Omani diplomatic efforts to restart indirect talks represent the main near-term catalysts before the August 31 deadline. Trader consensus on attendance reflects these procedural and venue uncertainties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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