Ongoing US sanctions enforcement, including actions against Iran's shadow fleet and Strait of Hormuz activities, combined with renewed regional tensions in July 2026, have driven the Iranian rial lower against the USD in free-market trading, with rates reaching record levels near 1.94 million rials per dollar. Temporary oil sale waivers through mid-August have provided limited revenue relief but face uncertainty amid enforcement shifts and inflation pressures exceeding 40%. These factors shape trader consensus on whether the exchange rate crosses the specified threshold by August 31, with any escalation in sanctions, diplomatic talks, or oil export constraints likely to influence short-term volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено↑ 2.1M
40%
↑ 2.0M
70%
↓ 1.8M
37%
↓ 1.7M
29%
↓ 1.6M
17%
$0.00 Обс.
↑ 2.1M
40%
↑ 2.0M
70%
↓ 1.8M
37%
↓ 1.7M
29%
↓ 1.6M
17%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US sanctions enforcement, including actions against Iran's shadow fleet and Strait of Hormuz activities, combined with renewed regional tensions in July 2026, have driven the Iranian rial lower against the USD in free-market trading, with rates reaching record levels near 1.94 million rials per dollar. Temporary oil sale waivers through mid-August have provided limited revenue relief but face uncertainty amid enforcement shifts and inflation pressures exceeding 40%. These factors shape trader consensus on whether the exchange rate crosses the specified threshold by August 31, with any escalation in sanctions, diplomatic talks, or oil export constraints likely to influence short-term volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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