Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and U.S. focus on separate diplomatic priorities such as Iran. The last in-person summit occurred in Alaska in August 2025, followed by periodic phone contacts—including one in July 2026 that produced no confirmed follow-up venue. China leads location probabilities at 34% as a potential neutral or multilateral site tied to broader geopolitical engagement, while U.S. hosting sits at just 3.2% given recent patterns and domestic calendar constraints. Remaining options such as Gulf states or Turkey register under 1% each, reflecting limited signals of imminent bilateral travel or summit announcements through December.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 34%
United States 3.2%
Other <1%
$499,096 Обс.
$499,096 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
60%
China
34%
United States
3%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 34%
United States 3.2%
Other <1%
$499,096 Обс.
$499,096 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$102,479 Обс.
60%
China
$64,265 Обс.
34%
United States
$25,765 Обс.
3%
Other
$18,160 Обс.
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Обс.
1%
Turkey
$25,145 Обс.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Обс.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Обс.
1%
Switzerland
$20,695 Обс.
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Обс.
<1%
Belarus
$20,092 Обс.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Обс.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Обс.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and U.S. focus on separate diplomatic priorities such as Iran. The last in-person summit occurred in Alaska in August 2025, followed by periodic phone contacts—including one in July 2026 that produced no confirmed follow-up venue. China leads location probabilities at 34% as a potential neutral or multilateral site tied to broader geopolitical engagement, while U.S. hosting sits at just 3.2% given recent patterns and domestic calendar constraints. Remaining options such as Gulf states or Turkey register under 1% each, reflecting limited signals of imminent bilateral travel or summit announcements through December.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$499,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and U.S. focus on separate diplomatic priorities such as Iran. The last in-person summit occurred in Alaska in August 2025, followed by periodic phone contacts—including one in July 2026 that produced no confirmed follow-up venue. China leads location probabilities at 34% as a potential neutral or multilateral site tied to broader geopolitical engagement, while U.S. hosting sits at just 3.2% given recent patterns and domestic calendar constraints. Remaining options such as Gulf states or Turkey register under 1% each, reflecting limited signals of imminent bilateral travel or summit announcements through December.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$499,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace efforts and U.S. focus on separate diplomatic priorities such as Iran. The last in-person summit occurred in Alaska in August 2025, followed by periodic phone contacts—including one in July 2026 that produced no confirmed follow-up venue. China leads location probabilities at 34% as a potential neutral or multilateral site tied to broader geopolitical engagement, while U.S. hosting sits at just 3.2% given recent patterns and domestic calendar constraints. Remaining options such as Gulf states or Turkey register under 1% each, reflecting limited signals of imminent bilateral travel or summit announcements through December.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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