Skip to main content
icon for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

icon for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

6% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
6% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing trade negotiations and routine diplomatic engagements between Ottawa and Washington continue without escalation to formal expulsion measures. A citizen petition with over 70,000 signatures has called for U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra to be declared persona non grata amid public criticism of his statements, yet the document remains scheduled for parliamentary presentation in the fall with no accompanying government action or official statements indicating intent to remove him. Canadian officials, including the trade minister and the newly appointed ambassador to the United States, have emphasized continued bilateral coordination on economic issues through mid-August deadlines and beyond. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions as rare diplomatic tools reserved for acute crises, and current relations lack comparable triggers. These factors underpin trader consensus that expulsion by year-end remains improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$96
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing trade negotiations and routine diplomatic engagements between Ottawa and Washington continue without escalation to formal expulsion measures. A citizen petition with over 70,000 signatures has called for U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra to be declared persona non grata amid public criticism of his statements, yet the document remains scheduled for parliamentary presentation in the fall with no accompanying government action or official statements indicating intent to remove him. Canadian officials, including the trade minister and the newly appointed ambassador to the United States, have emphasized continued bilateral coordination on economic issues through mid-August deadlines and beyond. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions as rare diplomatic tools reserved for acute crises, and current relations lack comparable triggers. These factors underpin trader consensus that expulsion by year-end remains improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$96
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 6% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 6¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 6%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 13, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?» — 6% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 6% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.