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icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

Флавіо Болсонару 91%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.1%

Ренан Сантос 1.6%

Augusto Cury 1.1%

Polymarket

$6,507,054 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару 91%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.1%

Ренан Сантос 1.6%

Augusto Cury 1.1%

Polymarket

$6,507,054 Обс.

icon for Флавіо Болсонару

Флавіо Болсонару

$606,043 Обс.

91%

icon for Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

$471,632 Обс.

7%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,242,181 Обс.

2%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$142,903 Обс.

1%

icon for Ромеу Земі

Ромеу Земі

$380,199 Обс.

<1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$810,183 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Болсонару

Едуарду Болсонару

$173,533 Обс.

<1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$143,630 Обс.

<1%

icon for Тарсіо де Фрейтас

Тарсіо де Фрейтас

$274,528 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мішель Болсонару

Мішель Болсонару

$218,938 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жаїр Болсонару

Жаїр Болсонару

$205,076 Обс.

<1%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$452,566 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмін

Жералду Алкмін

$228,761 Обс.

<1%

icon for Камілу Сантана

Камілу Сантана

$207,849 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,972 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ратінью Жуніор

Ратінью Жуніор

$750,154 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Лейте

Едуарду Лейте

$142,390 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,519 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead in first-round voting intentions at 37-40 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party consistently second at 30-34 percent and other candidates trailing in single digits. Traders price Flávio at 91 percent for second place because right-wing support has consolidated around the senator following his party's nomination, while fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos and Romeu Zema remain marginal. Augusto Cury has risen to 8-10 percent in late August and early September surveys, yet stays well behind. The October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff occur amid high rejection rates for both leading figures and ongoing legal proceedings involving Jair Bolsonaro. A sharper surge by Cury or another outsider, or a significant late erosion of Flávio's base, represent the main paths that could alter the ordering.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$6,507,054
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead in first-round voting intentions at 37-40 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party consistently second at 30-34 percent and other candidates trailing in single digits. Traders price Flávio at 91 percent for second place because right-wing support has consolidated around the senator following his party's nomination, while fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos and Romeu Zema remain marginal. Augusto Cury has risen to 8-10 percent in late August and early September surveys, yet stays well behind. The October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff occur amid high rejection rates for both leading figures and ongoing legal proceedings involving Jair Bolsonaro. A sharper surge by Cury or another outsider, or a significant late erosion of Flávio's base, represent the main paths that could alter the ordering.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$6,507,054
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

53%
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

90%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

80%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 18 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 91%, далі «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» згенерував $6.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце», перегляньте 18 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 91%. Наступний — «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.