Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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