Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
6°C or below 99.6%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 99.6%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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