Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service equivalents and private services project a peak afternoon high of 21–22°C in Buenos Aires today under mostly sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting stronger warming or cooling. These values align with trader consensus at 49% and 33% implied probability, respectively, as current observations hover near 14–16°C midday with modest diurnal rise expected before evening. Historical August baselines near 18°C and the absence of significant warm advection or cloud cover support this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 20°C or 23°C+ reflect model spread and typical late-winter variability. Updated runs later today could refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 49%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C or higher 6%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
49%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 49%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C or higher 6%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
49%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service equivalents and private services project a peak afternoon high of 21–22°C in Buenos Aires today under mostly sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting stronger warming or cooling. These values align with trader consensus at 49% and 33% implied probability, respectively, as current observations hover near 14–16°C midday with modest diurnal rise expected before evening. Historical August baselines near 18°C and the absence of significant warm advection or cloud cover support this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 20°C or 23°C+ reflect model spread and typical late-winter variability. Updated runs later today could refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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