Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 18?
31°C 60%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
60%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 60%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$234 Vol.
1%
28°C
$338 Vol.
2%
29°C
$916 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,922 Vol.
25%
31°C
$2,222 Vol.
60%
32°C
$961 Vol.
14%
33°C
$542 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$331 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,747Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,747Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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