**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 13?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$23,005 Vol.
$23,005 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$23,005 Vol.
$23,005 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong