Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
39°C 74%
40°C 31%
41°C or higher 12%
31°C or below <1%
$26,366 Vol.
$26,366 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
64%
40°C
31%
41°C or higher
12%
39°C 74%
40°C 31%
41°C or higher 12%
31°C or below <1%
$26,366 Vol.
$26,366 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
64%
40°C
31%
41°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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