Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid westerly winds of 4–6 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling over the Arabian Sea-influenced coastal plain. Persistent high humidity (75–85%) and the absence of strong cold-air advection or heavy monsoon showers have kept recent nights in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below bin at 37.5% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty over possible localized cloud cover or model spread in the final hours, while the clustered probabilities around 24–27°C reflect consensus on typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions. Updated NWP runs and official observations through the night will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
21°C or below 75%
25°C 42%
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
21°C or below
75%
22°C
15%
23°C
30%
24°C
21%
25°C
42%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 75%
25°C 42%
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
21°C or below
75%
22°C
15%
23°C
30%
24°C
21%
25°C
42%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid westerly winds of 4–6 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling over the Arabian Sea-influenced coastal plain. Persistent high humidity (75–85%) and the absence of strong cold-air advection or heavy monsoon showers have kept recent nights in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below bin at 37.5% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty over possible localized cloud cover or model spread in the final hours, while the clustered probabilities around 24–27°C reflect consensus on typical late-summer boundary-layer conditions. Updated NWP runs and official observations through the night will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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