Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and major models point to a daily minimum near 13°C in Toronto on September 14 under clearing skies and northwesterly flow behind a cold front, supporting the market's leading 12°C outcome. Clear conditions overnight promote radiational cooling as longwave heat loss accelerates with low humidity and light winds, while daytime mixing keeps highs near 21°C. Slight model spread on exact wind speeds and cloud timing creates uncertainty around the precise low, explaining balanced probabilities for 11–13°C versus cooler or warmer thresholds. Historical September averages hover near 14°C, but the incoming drier air mass favors values near or slightly below that baseline ahead of the next system.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 74%
16°C or higher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
6°C or below
74%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
74%
6°C or below 74%
16°C or higher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
6°C or below
74%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and major models point to a daily minimum near 13°C in Toronto on September 14 under clearing skies and northwesterly flow behind a cold front, supporting the market's leading 12°C outcome. Clear conditions overnight promote radiational cooling as longwave heat loss accelerates with low humidity and light winds, while daytime mixing keeps highs near 21°C. Slight model spread on exact wind speeds and cloud timing creates uncertainty around the precise low, explaining balanced probabilities for 11–13°C versus cooler or warmer thresholds. Historical September averages hover near 14°C, but the incoming drier air mass favors values near or slightly below that baseline ahead of the next system.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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