Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Busan on September 13?
30°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$29,561 Vol.
$29,561 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$29,561 Vol.
$29,561 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong