Recent Korean Meteorological Administration observations and GFS ensemble runs indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds favoring strong daytime insolation for Busan on September 14. These conditions support peak temperatures near or slightly above late-summer norms of 27–28 °C, positioning 31 °C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5 % implied probability while 30 °C holds secondary support. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk through the afternoon, though small forecast spreads around maximum heating rates keep 32 °C in play at 14.5 %. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station data tomorrow will refine the exact daily maximum used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
31°C 57%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
27%
31°C
57%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 57%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
27%
31°C
57%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korean Meteorological Administration observations and GFS ensemble runs indicate stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds favoring strong daytime insolation for Busan on September 14. These conditions support peak temperatures near or slightly above late-summer norms of 27–28 °C, positioning 31 °C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5 % implied probability while 30 °C holds secondary support. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk through the afternoon, though small forecast spreads around maximum heating rates keep 32 °C in play at 14.5 %. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station data tomorrow will refine the exact daily maximum used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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