Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
30°C 43%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
32°C 6.2%
BAGO
$32,820 Vol.
BAGO
$32,820 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
32%
30°C
43%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
32°C 6.2%
BAGO
$32,820 Vol.
BAGO
$32,820 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$538 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,073 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,373 Vol.
5%
29°C
$3,038 Vol.
32%
30°C
$941 Vol.
43%
31°C
$4,503 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,866 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,179 Vol.
1%
34°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,820Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,820Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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