Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the 19–22°C range, reflecting the city's coastal Yellow Sea location and moderating maritime influence that narrows diurnal swings. Clear to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly or variable winds and low humidity support efficient overnight radiative cooling, yet persistent warmth from recent days limits further drops. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes, with mid-range probabilities clustered around 17–18°C reflecting model spread and typical mid-September variability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
25°C or higher 83%
15°C or below 43%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
43%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
24%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
83%
25°C or higher 83%
15°C or below 43%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
$41 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$40 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the 19–22°C range, reflecting the city's coastal Yellow Sea location and moderating maritime influence that narrows diurnal swings. Clear to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly or variable winds and low humidity support efficient overnight radiative cooling, yet persistent warmth from recent days limits further drops. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes, with mid-range probabilities clustered around 17–18°C reflecting model spread and typical mid-September variability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$81Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the 19–22°C range, reflecting the city's coastal Yellow Sea location and moderating maritime influence that narrows diurnal swings. Clear to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly or variable winds and low humidity support efficient overnight radiative cooling, yet persistent warmth from recent days limits further drops. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes, with mid-range probabilities clustered around 17–18°C reflecting model spread and typical mid-September variability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall in the 19–22°C range, reflecting the city's coastal Yellow Sea location and moderating maritime influence that narrows diurnal swings. Clear to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly or variable winds and low humidity support efficient overnight radiative cooling, yet persistent warmth from recent days limits further drops. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes, with mid-range probabilities clustered around 17–18°C reflecting model spread and typical mid-September variability. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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