A passing cold front from the southwest is the primary driver keeping the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18 centered on 13–14°C, as reflected in the market's 57% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 13°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a daily maximum in this narrow range under persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region, where August highs average near 15–17°C but frontal passages frequently produce 2–4°C cooler outcomes. Modest forecast spread in peak timing and cloud thickness accounts for the remaining probability mass on 12°C and 15°C, with newer model runs or observational updates expected to refine these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18?
14°C 57%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 9%
BAGO
$11,166 Vol.
BAGO
$11,166 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
57%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 9%
BAGO
$11,166 Vol.
BAGO
$11,166 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
8°C or below
$625 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$973 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$700 Vol.
1%
12°C
$802 Vol.
9%
13°C
$2,720 Vol.
27%
14°C
$2,367 Vol.
57%
15°C
$594 Vol.
11%
16°C
$451 Vol.
1%
17°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A passing cold front from the southwest is the primary driver keeping the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18 centered on 13–14°C, as reflected in the market's 57% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 13°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a daily maximum in this narrow range under persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region, where August highs average near 15–17°C but frontal passages frequently produce 2–4°C cooler outcomes. Modest forecast spread in peak timing and cloud thickness accounts for the remaining probability mass on 12°C and 15°C, with newer model runs or observational updates expected to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$11,166Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A passing cold front from the southwest is the primary driver keeping the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18 centered on 13–14°C, as reflected in the market's 57% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 13°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a daily maximum in this narrow range under persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region, where August highs average near 15–17°C but frontal passages frequently produce 2–4°C cooler outcomes. Modest forecast spread in peak timing and cloud thickness accounts for the remaining probability mass on 12°C and 15°C, with newer model runs or observational updates expected to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,166Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...A passing cold front from the southwest is the primary driver keeping the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 18 centered on 13–14°C, as reflected in the market's 57% implied probability for 14°C and 27% for 13°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a daily maximum in this narrow range under persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited boundary-layer mixing that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region, where August highs average near 15–17°C but frontal passages frequently produce 2–4°C cooler outcomes. Modest forecast spread in peak timing and cloud thickness accounts for the remaining probability mass on 12°C and 15°C, with newer model runs or observational updates expected to refine these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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