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icon for Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

icon for Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Polymarket

$3,738 ปริมาณ

Polymarket
icon for A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$1,366 ปริมาณ

98%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$747 ปริมาณ

82%

icon for Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$1,260 ปริมาณ

7%

icon for Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”

$364 ปริมาณ

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of nationwide proportional lists (5% threshold) and single-member districts, occur in a tightly managed environment where the Kremlin shapes outcomes through candidate registration, media access, and electoral procedures. Putin signed the decree in June, with the Central Election Commission confirming three-day voting and noting potential internet restrictions for security reasons. Eleven parties qualified without signatures; Yabloko was later barred by the Supreme Court. Recent polls show United Russia leading but with support below prior levels, followed by LDPR, CPRF, New People, and A Just Russia near or above the threshold. Systemic opposition parties benefit from established structures and district mandates, while newer or independent groups face exclusion. The vote represents the first nationwide parliamentary contest since 2022, with results expected to preserve a narrow set of represented parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,738
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma elections, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026 under a mixed system of nationwide proportional lists (5% threshold) and single-member districts, occur in a tightly managed environment where the Kremlin shapes outcomes through candidate registration, media access, and electoral procedures. Putin signed the decree in June, with the Central Election Commission confirming three-day voting and noting potential internet restrictions for security reasons. Eleven parties qualified without signatures; Yabloko was later barred by the Supreme Court. Recent polls show United Russia leading but with support below prior levels, followed by LDPR, CPRF, New People, and A Just Russia near or above the threshold. Systemic opposition parties benefit from established structures and district mandates, while newer or independent groups face exclusion. The vote represents the first nationwide parliamentary contest since 2022, with results expected to preserve a narrow set of represented parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,738
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x65070BE91...

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 4 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)" ที่ 98% ตามด้วย "Rodina" ที่ 82% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 98¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 98% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Sep 1, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?" ดู 4 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?" คือ "A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)" ที่ 98% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 98% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "Rodina" ที่ 82% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้