Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 24 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern insulates the surface while precipitation provides evaporative cooling, creating tight uncertainty around the 25°C threshold and explaining the near-even market split between 25°C or higher and the 21–24°C range. Historical late-August lows average around 25°C, but model consensus shows slight cooling from recent days’ unsettled conditions without a clear front passage. Traders are closely tracking the next official China Meteorological Administration update and overnight model runs for any shift in storm timing or intensity that could tip the minimum a degree either way before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
21°C 95%
22°C 95%
25°C or higher 50%
23°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
35%
16°C
35%
17°C
14%
18°C
35%
19°C
<1%
20°C
35%
21°C
95%
22°C
95%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C or higher
50%
21°C 95%
22°C 95%
25°C or higher 50%
23°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
35%
16°C
$25 ปริมาณ
35%
17°C
$155 ปริมาณ
14%
18°C
$25 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$43 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$25 ปริมาณ
35%
21°C
$25 ปริมาณ
95%
22°C
$25 ปริมาณ
95%
23°C
$30 ปริมาณ
47%
24°C
$6 ปริมาณ
47%
25°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 24 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern insulates the surface while precipitation provides evaporative cooling, creating tight uncertainty around the 25°C threshold and explaining the near-even market split between 25°C or higher and the 21–24°C range. Historical late-August lows average around 25°C, but model consensus shows slight cooling from recent days’ unsettled conditions without a clear front passage. Traders are closely tracking the next official China Meteorological Administration update and overnight model runs for any shift in storm timing or intensity that could tip the minimum a degree either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$380วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 24 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern insulates the surface while precipitation provides evaporative cooling, creating tight uncertainty around the 25°C threshold and explaining the near-even market split between 25°C or higher and the 21–24°C range. Historical late-August lows average around 25°C, but model consensus shows slight cooling from recent days’ unsettled conditions without a clear front passage. Traders are closely tracking the next official China Meteorological Administration update and overnight model runs for any shift in storm timing or intensity that could tip the minimum a degree either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$380วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 24 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern insulates the surface while precipitation provides evaporative cooling, creating tight uncertainty around the 25°C threshold and explaining the near-even market split between 25°C or higher and the 21–24°C range. Historical late-August lows average around 25°C, but model consensus shows slight cooling from recent days’ unsettled conditions without a clear front passage. Traders are closely tracking the next official China Meteorological Administration update and overnight model runs for any shift in storm timing or intensity that could tip the minimum a degree either way before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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