Trader sentiment centers on forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles projecting Tokyo's August 26 minimum near 27–28°C, reflecting ongoing late-summer subtropical high pressure that sustains warm, humid air masses and limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity above 70% and expected cloud cover or showers reduce temperature drops overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Tokyo further moderates lows compared to rural baselines. With outcomes closely matched, traders weigh minor variables like wind patterns and exact cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 24–26°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm pattern ahead of the next model update cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
28°C 45%
27°C 41%
29°C 17%
24°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
10%
23°C
13%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
41%
28°C
45%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 41%
29°C 17%
24°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
25°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
17%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles projecting Tokyo's August 26 minimum near 27–28°C, reflecting ongoing late-summer subtropical high pressure that sustains warm, humid air masses and limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity above 70% and expected cloud cover or showers reduce temperature drops overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Tokyo further moderates lows compared to rural baselines. With outcomes closely matched, traders weigh minor variables like wind patterns and exact cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 24–26°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm pattern ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles projecting Tokyo's August 26 minimum near 27–28°C, reflecting ongoing late-summer subtropical high pressure that sustains warm, humid air masses and limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity above 70% and expected cloud cover or showers reduce temperature drops overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Tokyo further moderates lows compared to rural baselines. With outcomes closely matched, traders weigh minor variables like wind patterns and exact cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 24–26°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm pattern ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles projecting Tokyo's August 26 minimum near 27–28°C, reflecting ongoing late-summer subtropical high pressure that sustains warm, humid air masses and limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity above 70% and expected cloud cover or showers reduce temperature drops overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Tokyo further moderates lows compared to rural baselines. With outcomes closely matched, traders weigh minor variables like wind patterns and exact cloud timing that could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 24–26°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm pattern ahead of the next model update cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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