Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
28%
24°C
38%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$147 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$544 ปริมาณ
13%
23°C
$3,427 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$421 ปริมาณ
38%
25°C
$206 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$143 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C or higher
$185 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,332วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,332วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German DWD models drive the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24 °C, with those two bins capturing over 70 % of probability. Under late-August conditions featuring weak pressure gradients, light easterly flow, and modest daytime insolation, maximum temperatures are expected to reach the lower-to-mid 20s Celsius at Munich’s official observation site. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle warm-air advection from the south can shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the leading outcomes. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the most recent model cycles and historical verification statistics for comparable synoptic setups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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