Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and other models points to a warm, humid night across the New York metro area on September 2, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 68–73 °F bins that together exceed 75 % implied probability. Persistent southeast flow and cloud cover from an approaching system are suppressing the typical seasonal drop toward the 65 °F climatological average, while any earlier or more intense precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow window before resolution, with model runs showing modest spread in timing and intensity of the rain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 2?
70-71°F 52%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
10%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
52%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 52%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
$27 ปริมาณ
10%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
52%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
74-75°F
$15 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
78-79°F
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
82°F or higher
$88 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and other models points to a warm, humid night across the New York metro area on September 2, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 68–73 °F bins that together exceed 75 % implied probability. Persistent southeast flow and cloud cover from an approaching system are suppressing the typical seasonal drop toward the 65 °F climatological average, while any earlier or more intense precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow window before resolution, with model runs showing modest spread in timing and intensity of the rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and other models points to a warm, humid night across the New York metro area on September 2, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 68–73 °F bins that together exceed 75 % implied probability. Persistent southeast flow and cloud cover from an approaching system are suppressing the typical seasonal drop toward the 65 °F climatological average, while any earlier or more intense precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow window before resolution, with model runs showing modest spread in timing and intensity of the rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and other models points to a warm, humid night across the New York metro area on September 2, with showers and thunderstorms expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 68–73 °F bins that together exceed 75 % implied probability. Persistent southeast flow and cloud cover from an approaching system are suppressing the typical seasonal drop toward the 65 °F climatological average, while any earlier or more intense precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow window before resolution, with model runs showing modest spread in timing and intensity of the rain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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