Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C 61%
15°C 23%
13°C 16%
16°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
61%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 61%
15°C 23%
13°C 16%
16°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
$328 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$279 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$223 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$315 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$1,487 ปริมาณ
16%
14°C
$1,304 ปริมาณ
61%
15°C
$2,247 ปริมาณ
23%
16°C
$207 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$213 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,170วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,170วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย