**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%. August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection. Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,490 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,490 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,490 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,490 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$431 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$577 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$2,535 ปริมาณ
3%
12°C
$1,462 ปริมาณ
29%
13°C
$4,318 ปริมาณ
56%
14°C
$1,638 ปริมาณ
14%
15°C
$738 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$428 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%.
August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection.
Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,490วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%.
August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection.
Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,490วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%. August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection. Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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