Recent official outlooks from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions expected to deliver drier, occasionally windy weather through mid-August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures most often forecast between 33°C and 34°C. This backdrop supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 31–33°C for August 6, tempered by the possibility of localized afternoon thundery showers that can suppress peak readings. Historical August averages near 30–31°C at Changi, combined with model spreads on cloud cover, wind strength, and exact shower timing, explain the wide distribution and elevated uncertainty reflected in lower probabilities for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated NEA guidance and short-range forecast revisions remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 6?
32°C 40%
31°C 33%
33°C 25%
34°C 6.5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
33%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 33%
33°C 25%
34°C 6.5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
33%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official outlooks from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions expected to deliver drier, occasionally windy weather through mid-August 2026, with daily maximum temperatures most often forecast between 33°C and 34°C. This backdrop supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 31–33°C for August 6, tempered by the possibility of localized afternoon thundery showers that can suppress peak readings. Historical August averages near 30–31°C at Changi, combined with model spreads on cloud cover, wind strength, and exact shower timing, explain the wide distribution and elevated uncertainty reflected in lower probabilities for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated NEA guidance and short-range forecast revisions remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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