Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies show Chongqing under variable summer conditions on August 4, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 30–32°C amid high humidity and possible scattered precipitation that could cap peak readings. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, spreading probability across 29–33°C as subtle shifts in cloud cover, rainfall timing, or local wind patterns—common in the region's subtropical monsoon climate—can alter surface heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet current model runs emphasize moderation from moisture, while urban heat island effects in the city may push localized readings higher if skies clear. Updated numerical guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours represent the key variables likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 9%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 9%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies show Chongqing under variable summer conditions on August 4, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 30–32°C amid high humidity and possible scattered precipitation that could cap peak readings. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, spreading probability across 29–33°C as subtle shifts in cloud cover, rainfall timing, or local wind patterns—common in the region's subtropical monsoon climate—can alter surface heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet current model runs emphasize moderation from moisture, while urban heat island effects in the city may push localized readings higher if skies clear. Updated numerical guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours represent the key variables likely to refine market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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