**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 4 centers on the closely matched 20°C (40%) and 21°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting short-range model consensus around 19–21°C minima amid a warm, settled pattern.** Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19°C, consistent with light winds and residual warmth from an above-average summer featuring record-high nighttime temperatures. High pressure has promoted clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling and supporting elevated minima, while the broader seasonal signal of 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average reinforces trader expectations for values near or slightly above the climatological norm of roughly 14–17°C. Differentiating the leading bins hinges on subtle forecast uncertainties: minor model disagreements on cloud cover (which traps heat) versus clearer skies (enhancing cooling), plus small variations in wind speed and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence that could briefly lower temperatures. With resolution based on official Met Office observations, traders weigh these factors against the low probability (<2% combined) of cooler outcomes below 18°C given the prevailing synoptic setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 4?
Lowest temperature in London on August 4?
20°C 42%
21°C 40%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
15°C or below
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
42%
21°C
40%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
21°C 40%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
15°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
19°C
$6 ปริมาณ
19%
20°C
$2 ปริมาณ
42%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$1 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 4 centers on the closely matched 20°C (40%) and 21°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting short-range model consensus around 19–21°C minima amid a warm, settled pattern.**
Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19°C, consistent with light winds and residual warmth from an above-average summer featuring record-high nighttime temperatures. High pressure has promoted clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling and supporting elevated minima, while the broader seasonal signal of 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average reinforces trader expectations for values near or slightly above the climatological norm of roughly 14–17°C.
Differentiating the leading bins hinges on subtle forecast uncertainties: minor model disagreements on cloud cover (which traps heat) versus clearer skies (enhancing cooling), plus small variations in wind speed and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence that could briefly lower temperatures. With resolution based on official Met Office observations, traders weigh these factors against the low probability (<2% combined) of cooler outcomes below 18°C given the prevailing synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 4 centers on the closely matched 20°C (40%) and 21°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting short-range model consensus around 19–21°C minima amid a warm, settled pattern.**
Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19°C, consistent with light winds and residual warmth from an above-average summer featuring record-high nighttime temperatures. High pressure has promoted clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling and supporting elevated minima, while the broader seasonal signal of 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average reinforces trader expectations for values near or slightly above the climatological norm of roughly 14–17°C.
Differentiating the leading bins hinges on subtle forecast uncertainties: minor model disagreements on cloud cover (which traps heat) versus clearer skies (enhancing cooling), plus small variations in wind speed and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence that could briefly lower temperatures. With resolution based on official Met Office observations, traders weigh these factors against the low probability (<2% combined) of cooler outcomes below 18°C given the prevailing synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 4 centers on the closely matched 20°C (40%) and 21°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting short-range model consensus around 19–21°C minima amid a warm, settled pattern.** Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime high near 28°C and overnight low around 19°C, consistent with light winds and residual warmth from an above-average summer featuring record-high nighttime temperatures. High pressure has promoted clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling and supporting elevated minima, while the broader seasonal signal of 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average reinforces trader expectations for values near or slightly above the climatological norm of roughly 14–17°C. Differentiating the leading bins hinges on subtle forecast uncertainties: minor model disagreements on cloud cover (which traps heat) versus clearer skies (enhancing cooling), plus small variations in wind speed and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence that could briefly lower temperatures. With resolution based on official Met Office observations, traders weigh these factors against the low probability (<2% combined) of cooler outcomes below 18°C given the prevailing synoptic setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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