Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 40°C peak on August 6 in Jeddah, reflecting National Center of Meteorology signals of above-average summer heat across Saudi Arabia combined with seasonal climatology that typically produces August daily maxima near 37–38°C. Coastal Red Sea moderation, variable wind patterns, and humidity introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 39–42°C range, while model consensus remains limited this close to the date. Official short-range guidance from agencies like NCM will refine the exact maximum before resolution, with any strengthening of regional high-pressure systems or reduced sea-breeze influence capable of pushing readings higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 6?
40°C 36%
39°C 23%
42°C or higher 17%
41°C 17%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
14%
39°C
23%
40°C
36%
41°C
17%
42°C or higher
17%
40°C 36%
39°C 23%
42°C or higher 17%
41°C 17%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
14%
39°C
23%
40°C
36%
41°C
17%
42°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 40°C peak on August 6 in Jeddah, reflecting National Center of Meteorology signals of above-average summer heat across Saudi Arabia combined with seasonal climatology that typically produces August daily maxima near 37–38°C. Coastal Red Sea moderation, variable wind patterns, and humidity introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 39–42°C range, while model consensus remains limited this close to the date. Official short-range guidance from agencies like NCM will refine the exact maximum before resolution, with any strengthening of regional high-pressure systems or reduced sea-breeze influence capable of pushing readings higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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