Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent low-pressure trough influence with cloud cover and showers through early August, moderating peak temperatures near 30–32°C on August 5. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because reduced insolation from extensive cloudiness limits daytime heating, while high humidity and potential afternoon clearing could allow brief warming to 31–32°C if skies partially break. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall timing, with historical August baselines showing typical maxima of 31–32°C under similar monsoon conditions. Updated NHC and local guidance on any approaching systems will refine resolution risks before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
33°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
33°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent low-pressure trough influence with cloud cover and showers through early August, moderating peak temperatures near 30–32°C on August 5. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because reduced insolation from extensive cloudiness limits daytime heating, while high humidity and potential afternoon clearing could allow brief warming to 31–32°C if skies partially break. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall timing, with historical August baselines showing typical maxima of 31–32°C under similar monsoon conditions. Updated NHC and local guidance on any approaching systems will refine resolution risks before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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