Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high of 25°C for London on August 7 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, while some models and sites project 26°C amid a gradual warming trend from high-pressure building. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as urban heat island effects, variable cloud cover, and precise measurement sites like Heathrow explain the tight 25–26°C split in trader sentiment, with both outcomes near 37–40% implied probability. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the elevated readings, though short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing keeps 24°C or 27°C as plausible tails. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
$10,438 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,438 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
$10,438 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,438 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$1,117 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$535 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$1,002 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$2,358 ปริมาณ
37%
26°C
$1,834 ปริมาณ
40%
27°C
$969 ปริมาณ
13%
28°C
$964 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$237 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$309 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$557 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$557 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high of 25°C for London on August 7 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, while some models and sites project 26°C amid a gradual warming trend from high-pressure building. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as urban heat island effects, variable cloud cover, and precise measurement sites like Heathrow explain the tight 25–26°C split in trader sentiment, with both outcomes near 37–40% implied probability. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the elevated readings, though short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing keeps 24°C or 27°C as plausible tails. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,438วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high of 25°C for London on August 7 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, while some models and sites project 26°C amid a gradual warming trend from high-pressure building. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as urban heat island effects, variable cloud cover, and precise measurement sites like Heathrow explain the tight 25–26°C split in trader sentiment, with both outcomes near 37–40% implied probability. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the elevated readings, though short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing keeps 24°C or 27°C as plausible tails. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,438วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high of 25°C for London on August 7 under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, while some models and sites project 26°C amid a gradual warming trend from high-pressure building. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as urban heat island effects, variable cloud cover, and precise measurement sites like Heathrow explain the tight 25–26°C split in trader sentiment, with both outcomes near 37–40% implied probability. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the elevated readings, though short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing keeps 24°C or 27°C as plausible tails. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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