Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
23°C 40%
22°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$23 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$23 ปริมาณ
12%
22°C
$221 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$1 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$14 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$629วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$629วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Moscow highs around 22–24°C on August 9, 2026, driven by a post-peak summer cooling trend with moderating Atlantic air masses and possible late-day showers. Recent observations show temperatures easing from early August peaks near 25–27°C, aligning with climatological norms where daily maxima average 22–24°C early in the month. Ensemble guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models shows limited variability, with cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak solar heating. This scientific consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes at over 68% combined implied probability, with tails for warmer or cooler extremes remaining thin absent major synoptic shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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